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Must-Hit-By Calculator

Calculate the expected value of progressive jackpots that must pay before reaching a certain value.

Jackpot Details

The current meter/jackpot amount displayed

Maximum value before the jackpot must pay

Value the jackpot resets to after hitting

How much you need to bet for meter to increase by $0.01

Your wager per spin

Typically 75-85%

Expected Value

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Enter values and calculate

Calculation Details

Remaining to MHB --
Average Win (midpoint) --
Coin-in Required --
Base Game Loss --
Breakeven Entry --
Est. Spins --

Recommended Bankroll

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Based on 15% cushion for worst-case scenario

How This Calculator Works

Understanding the math behind Must-Hit-By progressives

Must-Hit-By (MHB) progressives are jackpots that must pay out before reaching their maximum value. This creates a mathematical advantage when the jackpot is close enough to its ceiling.

1 The Math Behind It

Average Win

Since the jackpot can hit anywhere between current value and MHB, we calculate the midpoint as the expected win.

Coin-in Required

Based on meter speed, how much total betting is needed to exhaust the meter.

Base Game Loss

The expected loss from the base game's RTP during the chase.

Expected Value

Average Win - Base Game Loss = Your edge (or loss)

Pro Tip

Always use the minimum bet to reduce variance. The meter increases based on total coin-in, so smaller bets mean more spins and a smoother ride to the jackpot.